Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.400949 0.442315 0.486676 0.537879 0.595461 0.658344 0.732385
2025-07-20 0.336884 0.394640 0.461058 0.543482 0.643569 0.761850 0.913224
2025-07-27 0.300410 0.366266 0.445634 0.549131 0.681695 0.847367 1.072560
2025-08-03 0.272849 0.343411 0.431703 0.551556 0.711948 0.921956 1.222348
2025-08-10 0.252438 0.326468 0.422133 0.556600 0.743606 0.998799 1.380966
2025-08-17 0.229545 0.303656 0.402043 0.544471 0.749152 1.038596 1.489762
2025-08-24 0.216543 0.292691 0.396424 0.550911 0.780114 1.115764 1.660149
2025-08-31 0.202292 0.278641 0.385032 0.547515 0.795546 1.170402 1.800783
2025-09-07 0.191500 0.268514 0.378161 0.549678 0.818761 1.238030 1.968497
2025-09-14 0.179192 0.255218 0.365528 0.541792 0.825164 1.278994 2.095522
2025-09-21 0.168874 0.244103 0.355229 0.536432 0.834646 1.325082 2.235551
2025-09-28 0.155624 0.227712 0.335791 0.515024 0.815839 1.321731 2.286223
2025-10-05 0.149947 0.222691 0.333748 0.521775 0.845084 1.404122 2.506089
2025-10-12 0.144424 0.217560 0.331175 0.527413 0.872870 1.486653 2.737030
2025-10-19 0.139328 0.212742 0.328698 0.532857 0.900510 1.571210 2.982389
2025-10-26 0.134017 0.207227 0.324668 0.535199 0.922540 1.647127 3.219654
2025-11-02 0.129596 0.202882 0.322248 0.540069 0.949444 1.734714 3.493003
2025-11-09 0.122479 0.193662 0.311042 0.528357 0.943949 1.757765 3.627749
2025-11-16 0.119026 0.190394 0.309780 0.534576 0.973349 1.853767 3.940107
2025-11-23 0.114209 0.184536 0.303659 0.531297 0.983666 1.911143 4.170196
2025-11-30 0.110586 0.180532 0.300539 0.533385 1.004792 1.993248 4.471257
2025-12-07 0.105691 0.174061 0.292652 0.525771 1.005336 2.030612 4.666291
2025-12-14 0.101472 0.168577 0.286248 0.520594 1.010490 2.078581 4.895323